We had never been closer to World War 3 since the Cuban Missile Crisis until today ( or rather in recent times ).

Pathetic economic situation in the United States brought a massive slowdown in China which had always been an inevitable given the imbalance in trade between the two giants. The economic situation had pushed China to distract their population with more military rhetoric and aggressive posturing.

China reclaimed multiple islands in the South China Sea, with 3 of the biggest ones literally military unsinkable aircraft carriers. Their claim on virtually the whole of South China Sea is ridiculous and dangerous. China’s military policy is that they will “never be the one to shoot first, but once attacked, will unleash everything upon the aggressor”. This “excuse” allows China to push the boundaries constantly against every neighboring country – be it territorial dispute or exploitation of resources. Japan, Vietnam, Philippines all had reacted by increasing spending and building up of arms. United States constantly weighing the risk and reward to get involved against the regional superpower. France and India both expressed unwillingness to take up China’s position.

In the west, NATO had been trying very hard to push Russia into the corner – hoping that Russia will break and retaliate, thus proving NATO’s words that Russia is a massive threat. Russia meanwhile is actively rebuilding their military into a leading military with outstanding technology to counter the missile shield threats that had been popping up all around their borders. Putin made it clear long ago that, the existence of the missile shield will render Russia nuclear deterrence obsolete, thus making it imperative for Russia to find new ways to get back that strategic balance against the West.

The west themselves are also embroiled in the migrant crisis which is a result of their conflicting policies of integration without integration. The lack of fiscal union under the Euro is destroying the economies of the weaker member states – with no solutions insight. Britain leaving Europe is a clear sign that things are not well in the European Union. Constant terrorist attacks and threat is leaving the populace tired and disillusioned. Their insistence on following USA’s lead in all sort of military operations had also exacerbated the crisis all around the arab world. European Union’s “love” for Ukraine is also becoming a curse with Ukraine readying their troops at the border to Crimea, prompting a military buildup in Crimea by the Russians.

Turkey going rogue did not help the West, as the intention to keep the former Ottoman Empire at bay is failing, Turkey is planning to get into a closer relations with Russia as NATO is drifting further away from Turkey’s interest. Turkey’s veiled intention to become a caliphate is shelved after seeing that the plan is unlikely to be pulled off with NATO, Israel, Syria, Iran Saudi Arabia, Russia and United States all looking like potential adversaries if they announce such intentions (literally against the world). Their assistance and manipulation of the Islamic States is getting less rewards for the risk they are taking – thus slowly weaning themselves from the gains they could get by assisting rebel forces and ISIS in Syria.

Saudi Arabia on the other hand is embroiled in Yemen in a seemingly never ending war, while their plans to use ISIS to take out Syria and Assad is failing thanks to Russian involvement. The deceiving “coalition” air war against ISIS turning more and more legit as the pressures from Europe, Russia and international spotlight grows. Iraq warming ties with Iran is definitely not seen as a positive thing by the Saudis, and thus by USA. Oil Horizon seems to be coming very soon, with the Saudi trying to offload their petroleum stakes onto the what is going to be the biggest IPO in history – this is a very clear sign that the era of the once prized asset of oil production is coming to an end.

If Saudi’s leadership in oil production ends – that will also spell the end of the Petrol Dollar – which means that US Dollar’s value will tank, especially given all the monetary easing that had been done by the Federal Researves for the past many years. The amount of US Dollar floating in the market, without the need for it to be use in global trade and oil trade, would instantly cause the dollar to hyper-inflate – destroying the US economy. The result is a massive transfer of wealth to commodities – especially Gold and Silver – but only to realise that the paper Gold that many people had been buying and keeping cannot be exchanged for physical gold; the paper gold end up becoming yet another hyperinflating currency that likely to even go to naught as no one would be selling their gold for paper gold.

In the above scenario, USA will be left with nothing but a powerful military, which they will not hesitate to use to gain any sort of “reset button” or “plunder” they can get their hands on. China, India and Russia had been stockpiling gold for the past many years will probably force the world into a gold backed currency – absolutely ending USA’s reign as a superpower.

Without USA, China will force their claims on all the territories they insist are their’s and multiple flashpoint and conflict will happen all around China. Saudi Arabia without their oil will mean they lose the protection from USA, thus may also attempt to use their powerful military to gain more resources and power. Turkey will take opportunity to chase the Ottoman dream as NATO will be in disarray due to the global economic depression. Ukraine may implode into civil war, and Russian will move into annex the country.

You get the drift…. if the world leaders dun make the right decisions today – we are doomed.